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Short, plain-language references for reading biotech catalysts and the signals we track.
- Biotech catalysts: the full taxonomyEvery major event type that moves biotech stocks — regulatory, clinical, scientific and corporate.
- What each catalyst does to the priceTypical direction and magnitude of the move per event — and what amplifies it.
- PDUFA dates explainedThe FDA's decision deadline — and the single biggest binary event for many biotechs.
- Clinical trial phases & readoutsPhase 1 → 2 → 3, and what a 'readout' actually is.
- "Sell the news"Why a stock can fall on good news — buy the rumor, sell the news.
- Common catalyst price patternsThe recurring run-up, fade, squeeze and dump patterns around biotech events.
- Dilution & offeringsShelf registrations, 424B5 takedowns, and ATMs — the biotech cash tax.
- Cash runwayHow long until a biotech must raise again — the metric that predicts dilution.
- Short interest & days-to-coverCrowded shorts, squeezes, and the metric that actually matters.
- Insider buying (Form 4)When officers and directors buy with their own money.
- Analyst ratings & price targetsWhat buy/hold/sell, upgrades, and targets do (and don't) tell you.
- Reading an 8-KThe filing where material news actually breaks.
- How a drug gets approvedThe journey from lab to market — IND, the three phases, NDA/BLA, and FDA review.
- FDA designations & expedited pathwaysBreakthrough, Fast Track, Orphan, Priority Review and Accelerated Approval explained.
- Advisory Committee (AdComm) meetingsWhen outside experts publicly vote on a drug before the FDA decides.
- The Complete Response Letter (CRL)What it means when the FDA says 'not yet'.
- Reading a trial resultEndpoints, statistical significance, and the traps in topline data.
- Share structure: float, market cap & warrantsWhy the same news moves a micro-float biotech far more.
- Approaching catalyst eventsBinary events are high-risk — a framework for thinking about them.
Educational only — not financial advice.